Many punters try to win the pick six daily and fail miserably. Many have, over a lifetime of playing this exotic bet, never won this bet yet they persist in playing it. Up to 80% of the money in a pick six pool is the small punter's money. Who takes these big pick sixes down? Syndicates and high rollers mostly. Why? They have the money to cover more combinations including the 20-1 long shots which wipe out more than 90% of all remaining tickets. If that 20-1 long shot arrives in the first leg a carry forward is often the result or 1 punter or syndicate takes the six down.



So what can the smaller punter do to tilt the odds in his favor? Apart from the need to cover as many combinations as possible it is important to structure your tickets correctly based on the probabilities. How often do favorites win legs? How often do back-up runners win legs? How often do outsiders win legs? When you know this and know how to factor that into multiple ticket construction you are on your way to having a chance at winning.









Vitally important is singling at least one leg. You have to find that single because it reduces the cost of playing considerably. Then in the remaining legs playing multiple tickets that cover the possibilities. You may not know exactly in which leg the favorite will win or lose but if your tickets factor this in you have a good chance.



Often there is a big need for software to generate the mathematically correct number of combinations needed to cover the scenario the punter envisages. And straightforward wheeling it is not! One has to filter out unlikely combinations. For instance favorites winning the first three legs straight.



The idea is to play a sufficiently large number of correctly constructed tickets at an affordable cost. That is the sweet spot the punter needs to find. What is the cost of winning or stated differently what is the cost of playing? And more importantly what percentage of the betting bank does that represent? In order to win you have to have multiple tickets correctly constructed. In order to play you have to have money to play. If you blow your bank on one day chasing a carry forward pick six you are back to watching tele weekends. No bank no bet. Bank? 1%-max5% per bet as stakes. Anything more than that and you are soon left playing on line poker for fun.



Preferably you have to able to absorb 50 straight losses but 20 will do with correct construction. That keeps you in the game because if you have correctly constructed your tickets e.g. you believe that any 3 favorites will come home and your other legs cover the other runners and say you have one single then you have a good chance because these constructions reflect what happens statistically in the pick six viz 2-3 legs are won by favorites and the rest by other runners including long-shots. These are the statistical facts. No guesswork here. If your tickets reflect these outcomes then it stands to reason you must win sooner rather than later because you are playing in the sweet spot of this bet.

By: Midastouch

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Llewellin RG Jegels is an online entrepreneur, student of life, Scrabble player and poet. You can read more about horse racing's pick six at www.horseracingpicksix.com