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Poker Odds - Different Holdem Preflop Hands in Heads Up Verse Multi Way Pots
/2008-01-22/
When playing Texas Holdem, many people have different ideas as to which starting hands they should try to thin the field with and play against one opponent or which hands they should keep multiple players in the pot in an attempt to take extra money. This article looks at the odds of different Texas Holdem preflop hands winning in heads up (2 player) verse multi-way pots to try to get some feel for how these hands perform against different numbers of players. In looking at these hands, we will make a few assumptions. We have put say $10 in the pot preflop and we either have one caller or three callers. We assume that ourselves and all callers are then all-in preflop. Now we run thousands of simulations where we deal random cards to both our opponents cards as well as the flop, turn and river and look at the percentage of these randomly dealt rounds where our hand wins for the case of 1 caller and the case of 3 callers. This then allows us to measure our expected pot size for the two player verse the multi-player situation in an attempt to gain insight into the correct strategy.
High Pockets
To look at the situation when we have a high pocket pair, we will use pocket kings as an example. When we have pocket kings against one opponent with randomly dealt cards, the odds of winning are approximately 82.12% or 0.21 to 1, that is 0.21 lost hands per hand won. In the case of 3 opponents with randomly dealt cards, the odds of winning are roughly 58% or 0.72 to 1.
Now, if we are heads up, under our assumptions there is $20 in the pot (our $10 and our opponents $10 call, ignoring the blinds). With an %82.12 chance of winning $20, our expected pot is $16.42. In the case of 3 opponents with randomly dealt hands, we have a $40 pot (our $10 and $10 from each of our 3 calling opponents) with a %58 probability of winning, so our expected pot is $23.20. Looks like we may want a few callers here.
Low Pockets
As an example of low pockets, lets use pocket fives as our example. The odds of winning against 1 opponent with randomly dealt cards are roughly %60.24 or 0.64 to 1. And against 3 opponents, the odds are approximately 28.6% or 2.45 to 1. So our expected pot sizes in this case are $12.05 for the heads up situation and $11.44 for the 3 caller situation. Here we are observing a greater expected pot for the heads up situation. This would be due to the reduced chance of an opponent hitting an over card when heads up.
Suited Connectors
For our suited connector, let use 8-9 of spades. Heads up the odds are %48.96 or 0.96 to 1. In the case of 3 opponents, our chances of winning are %27.54 or 2.47 to 1. So our expected pot sizes are $9.79 for heads up or $11.02 for a multi-way pot. This case where a multi-way pot is better for a suited connector is as expected as if you hit your straight or flush, you are likely to beat a large field.
High Cards
Lastly, lets use AQ off-suit as a case study for off-suited high cards. The probability of winning heads up is roughly %63.62 or 0.55 to 1. In the case of 3 opponents the odds are %35.86 or 1.71 to 1. Using this our expected pot sizes are $12.72 heads up or $14.34 with 3 opponents. Looks like a multi-way pot wins out again.
This article has used a poker odds calculator to look at which sorts of pre flop hands perform better with a limited or greater number of opponents. To look at this we have made a number of assumptions. While these assumptions do not directly correspond to the intricacies of a real game, making such assumptions allows us to form a problem that we can use the odds to directly gain insight into potential strategies that may show a greater profit. Making such assumptions is common when attempting to form mathematical solutions to complex problems. We have also presented approximate odds, for example our expected pot sizes do not incoporate the probability of a tie (the odds presented in the form of x to 1 do incorporate this though). The poker odds calculator used to calculate these odds does however provide facilities to look at such issues as ties. I hope this article has helped to not only understand this problem of heads up verse multi way play, but has also shown how such an odds calculator can be applied in unique ways to increase understanding of the game.
PokerCalculatorOnline.com provides the poker calculator that was used to calculate these odds. This poker odds calculator gives the odds and more in real time while you play online. Also check out this party poker deposit code.
Article Source: http://www.Free-Articles-Zone.com.
High Pockets
To look at the situation when we have a high pocket pair, we will use pocket kings as an example. When we have pocket kings against one opponent with randomly dealt cards, the odds of winning are approximately 82.12% or 0.21 to 1, that is 0.21 lost hands per hand won. In the case of 3 opponents with randomly dealt cards, the odds of winning are roughly 58% or 0.72 to 1.
Now, if we are heads up, under our assumptions there is $20 in the pot (our $10 and our opponents $10 call, ignoring the blinds). With an %82.12 chance of winning $20, our expected pot is $16.42. In the case of 3 opponents with randomly dealt hands, we have a $40 pot (our $10 and $10 from each of our 3 calling opponents) with a %58 probability of winning, so our expected pot is $23.20. Looks like we may want a few callers here.
Low Pockets
As an example of low pockets, lets use pocket fives as our example. The odds of winning against 1 opponent with randomly dealt cards are roughly %60.24 or 0.64 to 1. And against 3 opponents, the odds are approximately 28.6% or 2.45 to 1. So our expected pot sizes in this case are $12.05 for the heads up situation and $11.44 for the 3 caller situation. Here we are observing a greater expected pot for the heads up situation. This would be due to the reduced chance of an opponent hitting an over card when heads up.
Suited Connectors
For our suited connector, let use 8-9 of spades. Heads up the odds are %48.96 or 0.96 to 1. In the case of 3 opponents, our chances of winning are %27.54 or 2.47 to 1. So our expected pot sizes are $9.79 for heads up or $11.02 for a multi-way pot. This case where a multi-way pot is better for a suited connector is as expected as if you hit your straight or flush, you are likely to beat a large field.
High Cards
Lastly, lets use AQ off-suit as a case study for off-suited high cards. The probability of winning heads up is roughly %63.62 or 0.55 to 1. In the case of 3 opponents the odds are %35.86 or 1.71 to 1. Using this our expected pot sizes are $12.72 heads up or $14.34 with 3 opponents. Looks like a multi-way pot wins out again.
This article has used a poker odds calculator to look at which sorts of pre flop hands perform better with a limited or greater number of opponents. To look at this we have made a number of assumptions. While these assumptions do not directly correspond to the intricacies of a real game, making such assumptions allows us to form a problem that we can use the odds to directly gain insight into potential strategies that may show a greater profit. Making such assumptions is common when attempting to form mathematical solutions to complex problems. We have also presented approximate odds, for example our expected pot sizes do not incoporate the probability of a tie (the odds presented in the form of x to 1 do incorporate this though). The poker odds calculator used to calculate these odds does however provide facilities to look at such issues as ties. I hope this article has helped to not only understand this problem of heads up verse multi way play, but has also shown how such an odds calculator can be applied in unique ways to increase understanding of the game.
About the author:
PokerCalculatorOnline.com provides the poker calculator that was used to calculate these odds. This poker odds calculator gives the odds and more in real time while you play online. Also check out this party poker deposit code.
Article Source: http://www.Free-Articles-Zone.com.
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